 Bad governments don’t guarantee chaos as much as good ones promise
prosperity
By Dani Rodrik
Cambridge
Economists used to tell governments to fix their policies. Now they
tell them to fix their institutions. Their new reform agenda covers a
long list of objectives, including reducing corruption, improving the
rule of law, increasing the accountability and effectiveness of public
institutions, and enhancing the access and voice of citizens. Real and
sustainable change is supposedly possible only by transforming the
‘rules of the game’ the manner in which governments operate and relate
to the private sector.
Good governance is, of course, essential insofar as it provides
households with greater clarity and investors with greater assurance
that they can secure a return on their efforts. Placing emphasis on
governance also has the apparent virtue of helping to shift the focus
of reform toward inherently desirable objectives. ? Traditional
recommendations like free trade, competitive exchange rates, and sound
fiscal policy are worthwhile only to the extent that they achieve other
desirable objectives, such as faster economic growth, lower poverty,
and improved equity.
By contrast, the intrinsic importance of the rule of law, transparency,
voice, accountability, or effective government is obvious. We might
even say that good governance is development itself.
Unfortunately, much of the discussion surrounding governance reforms
fails to make a distinction between governance-as-an-end and
governance-as-a means. The result is muddled thinking and inappropriate
strategies for reform.
Economists and aid agencies would be more useful if they turned their
attention to what one might call ‘governance writ small.’ This requires
moving away from the broad governance agenda and focusing on reforms of
specific institutions in order to target binding constraints on growth.
Poor countries suffer from a multitude of growth constraints, and
effective reforms address the most binding among them. Poor governance
may, in general, be the binding constraint in Zimbabwe and a few other
countries, but it was not in China, Vietnam, or Cambodia countries that
are growing rapidly despite poor governance and it most surely is not
in Ethiopia, South Africa, El Salvador, Mexico, or Brazil.
As a rule, broad governance reform is neither necessary nor sufficient
for growth. It is not necessary, because what really works in practice
is removing successive binding constraints, whether they are supply
incentives in agriculture, infrastructure bottlenecks, or high credit
costs. It is not sufficient, because sustaining the fruits of
governance reform without accompanying growth is difficult. As
desirable as the rule of law and similar reforms may be in the long run
and for development in general, they rarely deserve priority as part of
a growth strategy.
Governance writ small focuses instead on those institutional
arrangements that can best relax the constraints on growth. Suppose,
for example, that we identify macroeconomic instability as the binding
constraint in a particular economy. In a previous era, an economic
adviser might have recommended specific fiscal and monetary policies a
reduction in fiscal expenditures or a ceiling on credit geared at
restoring macroeconomic balances.
Today, that adviser would supplement these recommendations with others
that are much more institutional in nature and fundamentally about
governance. So he or she might advocate making the central bank
independent in order to reduce political meddling, and changing the
framework for managing fiscal policy setting up fiscal rules, for
example, or allowing only an up-or-down legislative vote on budget
proposals.
Macroeconomic policy is an area in which economists have done a lot of
thinking about institutional prerequisites. The same is true in a few
other areas, such as education policy and telecom regulation.
But in other areas, such as trade, employment, or industrial policies,
prevailing thinking is either na?¯ve or non-existent. That is a
pity, because economists’ understanding of the substantive issues,
professional obsession with incentives, and attention to unanticipated
consequences give them a natural advantage in designing institutional
arrangements to further the objectives in question while minimizing
behavioral distortions.
Designing appropriate institutional arrangements also requires both
local knowledge and creativity. What works in one setting is unlikely
to work in another.
While import liberalization works fine for integrating with the world
economy when import-competing interests are not powerful and the
currency is unlikely to become overvalued, export subsidies or special
economic zones will work far better in other circumstances. Similarly,
central bank independence may be a great idea when monetary instability
is the binding constraint, but it will backfire where the real
challenge is poor competitiveness.
Unfortunately, the type of institutional reform promoted by, among
others, the World Bank, IMF, and the World Trade Organization is biased
toward a best-practice model, which presumes that a set of universally
appropriate institutional arrangements can be determined and views
convergence towards them as being inherently desirable. But
best-practice institutions are, by definition, non-contextual and
cannot take local complications into account. Insofar as they narrow
rather than expand the menu of available institutional choices, they
serve the cause of good governance badly.
Good governance is good in and of itself. It can also be good for
growth when it is targeted at binding constraints. Too much focus on
broad issues, such as rule of law and accountability, runs the risk
that policymakers will end up tilting at windmills while overlooking
the particular governance challenges most closely linked to economic
growth.
Dani Rodrik, Professor of Political Economy at Harvard University’s
John F. Kennedy School of Government, is the first recipient of the
Social Science Research Council’s Albert O. Hirschman Prize. His latest
book is One Economics, Many Recipes: Globalization, Institutions, and
Economic Growth.
Last update on: 16-5-2008 |